The Fed was discussing transitory issues, but now they are talking of a mild recession. They have built a house of cards heavily reliant on rates and printing, and no one knows what could break in the system today. The unintended consequences of their actions could lead to a collapse. Despite this, the Fed may be reluctant to curb interest rates, meaning we could be in for a protracted period of recession lasting several years.

Investors today are used to the Fed coming to the rescue, particularly since 2009. But if they don’t, markets and investors will be confused about how the recovery will work out naturally. Credit card debt is skyrocketing and car loans are seeing defaults, leading Gareth to believe we are in for a long drawn out recession. People have been overspending since the end of the lockdowns, and soon will have to cut back. Countries with resources, particularly metals, will likely do better than most. China is seeing a surge in demand internally, and it will be interesting to see if this leads to an inflation surge.

Gold is still attractive for its use as a fear trade, and can also do well during inflation. However, it has yet to outperform this year. Servicing the debt will put a burden on the system, while corporations will also have issues refinancing. There are many layoffs coming as a result. Gareth believes the downside for gold is minimal, and the upside is potentially amazing. Silver is trickier to gauge because of its industrial demand aspects, but should perform well if your time horizon is longer than average.

The dollar could continue higher if we get through this recession, which will in turn pressure metals and equities. We need to keep an eye on the jobs numbers on Friday. The decline in natural gas futures has been impressive and we are now in a trading range. Gareth still believes the Bitcoin markets are likely due for a further decline, and that we are seeing similar patterns. A bear market rally appears to still be in play, and a pullback to 18,000 or even lower seems likely. A recession or pullback in equities will also impact the crypto space, so lower targets remain possible. Gareth believes regulations in crypto will benefit the markets, as it will allow institutions into the space. Right now, legally they would have a lot of trouble investing.

Time Stamp References:
0:00 – Introduction
0:35 – Feds In Control?
3:50 – Rates & Recession
5:18 – Weakness Starting?
7:29 – Global Outlook & China
9:12 – China, Copper, & Steel
10:40 – Gold & Inflation
12:30 – Black Swans & Tensions
13:28 – S&P Outlook Charts
16:36 – Gold Chart
20:36 – GDX Outlook?
21:58 – Silver Chart
23:00 – Dollar Direction
24:15 – Energy – Crude
25:25 – Trendlines & Closes
26:54 – Natural Gas Futures
28:46 – Bitcoin Volatility
31:39 – Trading Tip
33:40 – Wrap Up

Guest Links:
Twitter: https://twitter.com/GarethSoloway
Website: https://inthemoneystocks.com/
Website: https://verifiedinvestingcrypto.com
Website: https://verifiedinvestingeducation.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gareth-soloway-60827953/

Chief Market Strategist Gareth Soloway has been an avid swing and day trader since his days at Binghamton University, where he studied Economics. After college, Gareth quickly excelled as a financial adviser, but his heart was always in swing and day trading. He had this long-standing belief that he could help investors make more money by advising them on shorter-term investments (holding a stock for days to weeks) than the buy and hold crowd who lost 50% of their money during every market collapse. “Why not profit during the bear markets just like the bull markets,” he said. So while helping others gain financial independence during the day, he spent his nights studying charts and price action, developing a unique market trading system that put his profits on a rocket ship. Some nights he would barely sleep when he found a new technique that was proven, once back-tested.

After building his wealth through trading in 2004, he left the financial industry to trade his own money and study charts and technical signals. This was when he met Nicholas Santiago. The two top traders spent days trading stocks/futures together, and nights putting their collective brainpower into the pure genius that would become the PPT Methodology.

InTheMoneyStocks was launched in 2007 once the PPT Methodology was perfected. Gareth’s goal was to help average investors beat the best hedge funds and traders on Wall Street by teaching them the methodology and giving them his trades as he took them LIVE!

Since 2007, Chief Market Strategist Gareth Soloway has maintained an over 80% success rate on swing trade alerts (verified 300+ trades per year) given to members in Verified Investing Alerts (formally named the Research Center) and a confirmed 94% success rate on day trades in the Live Day Trading Chat Room. He has given lectures at colleges around the United States, been asked to train hedge fund traders in other countries, and taught thousands of investors how to invest and trade profitably, achieving their dreams of financial independence. He lives life to the fullest and puts his heart and soul into teaching his members who come willing to learn the PPT Methodology.