Stijn Schmitz interviews Adrian Day at the 2026 Rule Symposium. Adrian Day is CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management and Manager of the EuroPacific Gold Fund. Adrian observes a significant opportunity in the resource sector, noting that gold and silver equities are trading at valuations near all-time lows, compounded by deeply negative sentiment. He points out that bullish sentiment for gold has plummeted to single digits, even hitting zero percent on one occasion, creating what he views as an exceptionally lopsided and contrarian setup. While acknowledging that gold bullion cannot be valued using traditional discounted cash flow models, he argues it is undervalued on an inflation-adjusted basis and relative to global debt and money supply, suggesting the current cycle has a long way to run before any potential overshoot.

Day emphasizes that key indicators for market tops are primarily sentiment-driven, such as overwhelming bullish media coverage, unsolicited stock tips from the public, and lines forming outside bullion dealers. Harder data points include accelerating flows into gold ETFs and the emergence of premiums on physical products. For investors new to or underweight the sector, he recommends buying across the spectrum, highlighting that even the largest, most conservative royalty and streaming companies are trading at historically low multiples. When evaluating junior exploration companies, his focus is overwhelmingly on the quality of the management team and the strength of the balance sheet, with the specific mineral property being the least important factor. He stresses the importance of management with a relevant track record and the presence of large, supportive, long-term shareholders who can ensure access to capital during difficult markets.

For mid-tier producers, he prefers companies with diversified assets in concentrated jurisdictions to mitigate single-mine risk. Briefly touching on other commodities, Day notes that oil and gas stocks have dramatically underperformed the broad market this year and have not retreated significantly from recent highs, though he is waiting for lower entry prices. He also sees potential in thermal coal projects serving Asian markets, where energy security has become a paramount concern.

Timestamps:
00:00:00 – Introduction
00:00:36 – Gold Opportunities and Sentiment
00:05:51 – Bull Bear Sentiment Indicators
00:10:05 – Transition to Gold Miners
00:17:06 – Mergers Acquisitions in Mining
00:20:07 – Evaluating Management Teams
00:22:43 – Oil and Gas Outlook
00:27:10 – Thermal Coal Investment Potential
00:28:47 – Concluding Thoughts

Guest Links:
Website: https://adrianday.com/

Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and is frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.