Gary Wagner: A Biden Win is Great for Gold?
Tom welcomes a new guest to the program, Gary Wagner. Gary has been a technical trader for over 25 years and is the executive producer of “The Gold Forecast,” a daily video newsletter.
Gary discusses how people are waiting for more stimulus, but the next program will likely not arrive until February. The economy continues to contract, and while some businesses are doing very well, others are being hit quite hard. The Fed has stated that interest rates will remain unchanged as they still have some options in their toolbox. Expect gold and equities to continue to do well in this environment.
We’ve had the most massive budget deficit on record at three trillion to fund this crisis. There is still a lot of work to be done, and he expects that 2021 will have a similar or perhaps even larger deficit than 2020. The government will likely continue bailing out specific sectors through next year.
Typically Democrats spend more than Republicans, and there is much uncertainty surrounding Trump. What America needs no matter who wins is a peaceful transition of power. From now on, there could be a lot more protests.
Gary discusses how fast technology is moving quickly and why that makes him cheerful and optimistic about the future.
Gary believes cryptocurrencies will find a place in the fabric of society. Crypto allows third world countries and developing countries to transfer value with relative ease.
He likes silver as it will outperform gold during moves but will also correct harder to the downside. There is a finite amount of both metals, and there will always be intrinsic value with these assets.
He discusses what being a hybrid technical trader means for him and how he was mentored by two great technical traders Larry Williams and Don Bollinger. He says, “Making money isn’t that difficult. Keeping it is the hard part.” Finding the tops is the hard part of the markets, and he discusses some of the alternative trading techniques he uses.
Time Stamp References:
0:00 – Introduction
0:50 – Election thoughts.
2:15 – Stimulus timeline.
3:30 – NIRP not necessary… yet.
4:30 – Pandemic and Vaccine.
6:13 – Deficits next year could be huge.
7:55 – Why the recent rally?
9:40 – Liquidity risks and the Fed.
11:20 – The new business normal.
12:50 – Currencies and holding dollars.
14:50 – Silver thoughts.
16:00 – Hybrid technical trading.
23:10 – Technical trading resources.
25:30 – Price/stock moves going forward.
Talking Points From This Episode
- Stimulus after the elections.
- Central bank policy.
- Expect a large deficit next year.
- Technical indicators and Eastern methods.
Gary S. Wagner has been a technical market analyst for 25 years. A frequent contributor to Stocks & Commodities Magazine, he has also written for Futures Magazine and Barrons. He is the executive producer of “The Gold Forecast,” a daily video newsletter.
He has been a speaker for financial seminars, including Futures West and the Dow Jones Financial Symposium, which travels throughout the world. He is co-author of “Trading Applications Of Japanese Candlestick Charting,” a John Wiley publication.
His specialties include Technical Market Analysis, Stocks, Commodity Markets, and Forex Exchange. He has a unique approach with Japanese Candlestick Charting in combination with Western Technical Analysis.